070601-气象学

极端气候变化，短期气候预测

2006-09--2012-01   中国科学院大气物理研究所   理学博士
2002-09--2006-06   兰州大学   理学学士

   

2018-03~现在, 中国科学院大气物理研究所, 研究员
2014-01~现在, 中国科学院大气物理研究所, 副研究员
2012-01~2014-01,中国科学院大气物理研究所, 助理研究员
2006-09~2012-01,中国科学院大气物理研究所, 理学博士
2002-09~2006-06,兰州大学, 理学学士

   

（1） 短期气候预测的研制与应用, 一等奖, 其他, 2017
（2） 第十六届涂长望青年气象科技奖, 二等奖, 国家级, 2015
（3） 中国科学院院长特别奖, 特等奖, 院级, 2012
（4） 中国科学院大气物理研究所优秀博士学位论文, , 研究所（学校）, 2012

   

（1） Changes in drought characteristics over China during 1961–2019, FRONTIERS IN EARTH SCIENCE, 2023, 第 2 作者
（2） The underestimation of spring precipitation over South China is caused by the weak simulations of the dynamic motion in CMIP6 models, INTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF CLIMATOLOGY, 2023, 通讯作者
（3） Variations in Summer Extreme Hot–Humid Events over Eastern China and the Possible Associated Mechanisms, Journal of Climate, 2023, 通讯作者
（4） Contribution of PDO to decadal variations of glaze dipole pattern in China, Journal of Climate, 2023, 
（5） Anthropogenic forcing and Pacific internal variability-determined decadal increase in summer precipitation over the Asian water tower, NPJ CLIMATE AND ATMOSPHERIC SCIENCE, 2023, 第 3 作者
（6） Daily snowfall events on the Eurasian continent: CMIP6 models evaluation and projection, INTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF CLIMATOLOGY, 2022, 通讯作者
（7） Future changes in precipitation extremes across China based on CMIP6 models, INTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF CLIMATOLOGY, 2022, 通讯作者
（8） Model assessments and future projections of spring climate extremes in China based on CMIP6 models, INTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF CLIMATOLOGY, 2022, 第 2 作者
（9） Increases of extreme heat-humidity days endanger future populations living in China, ENVIRONMENTAL RESEARCH LETTERS, 2022, 通讯作者
（10） Increased populations will be exposed to the dangerous precipitation extremes across China in the future, FRONTIERS IN EARTH SCIENCE, 2022, 通讯作者
（11） Detectable Human Influence on Changes in Precipitation Extremes Across China, EARTHS FUTURE, 2022, 通讯作者
（12） Changes in the spatial-temporal characteristics of daily snowfall events over the Eurasian continent from 1980 to 2019, INTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF CLIMATOLOGY, 2022, 通讯作者
（13） Anthropogenic influence on extreme temperature changes over the mid-high latitudes of Asia, INTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF CLIMATOLOGY, 2022, 通讯作者
（14） Future warming accelerates lake variations inthe Tibetan Plateau, INTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF CLIMATOLOGY, 2022, 通讯作者
（15） Significant Increase of the Global Population Exposure to Increased Precipitation Extremes in the Future, EARTHS FUTURE, 2021, 通讯作者
（16） Interannual variation in summer extreme precipitation over Southwestern China and the possible associated mechanisms, INTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF CLIMATOLOGY, 2021, 通讯作者
（17） Synergetic impacts of precursory climate drivers on interannual-decadal variations in haze pollution in North China: A review, SCIENCE OF THE TOTAL ENVIRONMENT, 2021, 第 3 作者
（18） What induces the interdecadal shift of the dipole patterns of summer precipitation trends over the Tibetan Plateau?, INTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF CLIMATOLOGY, 2021, 通讯作者
（19） The Unstable Relationship Between the Precipitation Dipole Pattern in the Tibetan Plateau and Summer NAO, GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH LETTERS, 2021, 通讯作者
（20） Future changes in precipitation extremes across China based on CMIP6 models, INTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF CLIMATOLOGY, 2021, 通讯作者
（21） Anthropogenic influence has increased climate extreme occurrence over China, SCIENCE BULLETIN, 2021, 通讯作者
（22） CMIP6模式对亚洲中高纬区极端温度变化的模拟及预估, Assessment and projection of changes in temperature extremes over the mid-high latitudes of Asia based on CMIP6 models, 大气科学学报, 2021, 第 2 作者
（23） A Detectable Anthropogenic Shift Toward Intensified Summer Hot Drought Events Over Northeastern China, EARTH AND SPACE SCIENCE, 2020, 通讯作者
（24） “一带一路”区域气候变化事实、影响及可能风险, The Belt and Road region climate change:facts,impacts and possible risks, 大气科学学报, 2020, 第 35 作者
（25） 中国气候预测研究与业务发展的回顾, Highlights of climate prediction study and operation in China over the past decades, 气象学报, 2020, 第 3 作者
（26） Anthropogenic influence would increase intense snowfall events over parts of the Northern Hemisphere in the future, ENVIRONMENTAL RESEARCH LETTERS, 2020, 通讯作者
（27） The Impact of Preceding Spring Antarctic Oscillation on the Variations of Lake Ice Phenology over the Tibetan Plateau, JOURNAL OF CLIMATE, 2020, 通讯作者
（28） North Atlantic Modulation of Interdecadal Variations in Hot Drought Events over Northeastern China, JOURNAL OF CLIMATE, 2020, 通讯作者
（29） Comparison of CMIP6 and CMIP5 models in simulating climate extremes, SCIENCE BULLETIN, 2020, 通讯作者
（30） Drought Impacts on Hydropower Capacity Over the Yangtze River Basin and Their Future Projections under 1.5/2 degrees C Warming Scenarios, FRONTIERS IN EARTH SCIENCE, 2020, 第 4 作者
（31） Increased population exposure to precipitation extremes under future warmer climates, ENVIRONMENTAL RESEARCH LETTERS, 2020, 通讯作者
（32） Changes in Lake Area in the Inner Mongolian Plateau under Climate Change: The Role of the Atlantic Multidecadal Oscillation and Arctic Sea Ice, JOURNAL OF CLIMATE, 2020, 通讯作者
（33） Comment on "Insignificant effect of climate change on winter haze pollution in Beijing" by Shen et al. (2018), ATMOSPHERIC CHEMISTRY AND PHYSICS, 2019, 第 6 作者
（34） Modulation of the Kara Sea Ice Variation on the Ice Freeze-Up Time in Lake Qinghai, JOURNAL OF CLIMATE, 2019, 通讯作者
（35） Anthropogenic fine particulate matter pollution will be exacerbated in eastern China due to 21st century GHG warming, 2019, 第 1 作者
（36） The advanced South Asian monsoon onset accelerates lake expansion over the Tibetan Plateau, SCIENCE BULLETIN, 2019, 通讯作者
（37） Increased population exposure to extreme droughts in China due to 0.5 degrees C of additional warming, 2019, 第 1 作者
（38） Increased population exposure to extreme droughts in China due to 0.5 degrees C of additional warming, ENVIRONMENTAL RESEARCH LETTERS, 2019, 通讯作者
（39） The advanced South Asian monsoon onset accelerates lake expansion over the Tibetan Plateau, The advanced South Asian monsoon onset accelerates lake expansion over the Tibetan Plateau, 科学通报:英文版, 2019, 通讯作者
（40） Anthropogenic fine particulate matter pollution will be exacerbated in eastern China due to 21st century GHG warming, ATMOSPHERIC CHEMISTRY AND PHYSICS, 2019, 
（41） Can Barents Sea Ice Decline in Spring Enhance Summer Hot Drought Events over Northeastern China?, JOURNAL OF CLIMATE, 2018, 通讯作者
（42） Projected changes in temperature and precipitation extremes over the Silk Road Economic Belt regions by the Coupled Model Intercomparison Project Phase 5 multi-model ensembles, INTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF CLIMATOLOGY, 2018, 第 2 作者
（43） Future precipitation changes over China under 1.5 °C and 2.0 °C global warming targets by using CORDEX regional climate models, SCIENCE OF THE TOTAL ENVIRONMENT, 2018, 通讯作者
（44） Projected changes in climate extremes in China in a 1.5C warmer world, International Journal of Climatology, 2018, 第 1 作者
（45） 降尺度方法在东亚气候预测中的应用, Application of Downscaling Methods in the East Asian Climate Prediction, 大气科学, 2018, 第 3 作者
（46） Projected changes in climate extremes in China in a 1.5 degrees C warmer world, INTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF CLIMATOLOGY, 2018, 通讯作者
（47） The Impact of the NAO on the Delayed Break-Up Date of Lake Ice over the Southern Tibetan Plateau, JOURNAL OF CLIMATE, 2018, 通讯作者
（48） Future precipitation changes over China under 1.5 degrees C and 2.0 degrees C global warming targets by using CORDEX regional climate models, SCIENCE OF THE TOTAL ENVIRONMENT, 2018, 通讯作者
（49） Contribution of human influence to increased daily precipitation extremes over China, GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH LETTERS, 2017, 通讯作者
（50） Characterizing present and future drought changes over eastern China, INTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF CLIMATOLOGY, 2017, 通讯作者
（51） A Comparison of the Effects of Interannual Arctic Sea Ice Loss and ENSO on Winter Haze Days: Observational Analyses and AGCM Simulations, A Comparison of the Effects of Interannual Arctic Sea Ice Loss and ENSO on Winter Haze Days: Observational Analyses and AGCM Simulations, JOURNAL OF METEOROLOGICAL RESEARCH, 2017, 第 3 作者
（52） Future changes in precipitation extremes over China using the NEX-GDDP high-resolution daily downscaled data-set, Future changes in precipitation extremes over China using the NEX-GDDP high-resolution daily downscaled data-set, ATMOSPHERIC AND OCEANIC SCIENCE LETTERS, 2017, 通讯作者
（53） Anthropogenic warming has caused hot droughts more frequently in China, JOURNAL OF HYDROLOGY, 2017, 通讯作者
（54） Understanding severe winter haze events in the North China Plain in 2014: roles of climate anomalies, ATMOSPHERIC CHEMISTRY AND PHYSICS, 2017, 
（55） Effects of anthropogenic activity emerging as intensified extreme precipitation over China, JOURNAL OF GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH-ATMOSPHERES, 2017, 通讯作者
（56） Influence of North Pacific SST on heavy precipitation events in autumn over North China, Influence of North Pacific SST on heavy precipitation events in autumn over North China, 大气和海洋科学快报：英文版, 2017, 第 2 作者
（57） Future changes in precipitation extremes over China using the NEX-GDDP high-resolution daily downscaled data-set, Future changes in precipitation extremes over China using the NEX-GDDP high-resolution daily downscaled data-set, 大气和海洋科学快报：英文版, 2017, 第 1 作者
（58） Warming over the North Pacific can intensify snow events in Northeast China, Warming over the North Pacific can intensify snow events in Northeast China, 大气和海洋科学快报：英文版, 2016, 第 2 作者
（59） Changes in clustered extreme precipitation events in South China and associated atmospheric circulations, INTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF CLIMATOLOGY, 2016, 通讯作者
（60） Understanding the recent trend of haze pollution in eastern China: roles of climate change, ATMOSPHERIC CHEMISTRY AND PHYSICS, 2016, 第 2 作者
（61） Warming over the North Pacific can intensify snow events in Northeast China, Warming over the North Pacific can intensify snow events in Northeast China, ATMOSPHERIC AND OCEANIC SCIENCE LETTERS, 2016, 通讯作者
（62） Changes in climate extreme events in China associated with warming, INTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF CLIMATOLOGY, 2015, 通讯作者
（63） 西部干旱区未来气候变化高分辨率预估, High-resolution projection of future climate change in the northwestern arid regions of China, 干旱区地理, 2015, 第 4 作者
（64） Arctic Sea Ice Decline Intensified Haze Pollution in Eastern China, Arctic Sea Ice Decline Intensified Haze Pollution in Eastern China, 大气和海洋科学快报：英文版, 2015, 第 2 作者
（65） Arctic Sea Ice Decline Intensified Haze Pollution in Eastern China, Arctic Sea Ice Decline Intensified Haze Pollution in Eastern China, ATMOSPHERIC AND OCEANIC SCIENCE LETTERS, 2015, 第 2 作者
（66） Haze Days in North China and the associated atmospheric circulations based on daily visibility data from 1960 to 2012, JOURNAL OF GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH-ATMOSPHERES, 2015, 通讯作者
（67） Changes in Drought Characteristics over China Using the Standardized Precipitation Evapotranspiration Index, JOURNAL OF CLIMATE, 2015, 通讯作者
（68） Recent changes in summer precipitation in Northeast China and the background circulation, INTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF CLIMATOLOGY, 2015, 第 2 作者
（69） Assessing model performance of climate extremes in China: an intercomparison between CMIP5 and CMIP3, CLIMATIC CHANGE, 2015, 通讯作者
（70） Evaluation of a high-resolution historical simulation over China: climatology and extremes, CLIMATE DYNAMICS, 2015, 第 3 作者
（71） Drought Response to Air Temperature Change over China on the Centennial Scale, Drought Response to Air Temperature Change over China on the Centennial Scale, 大气和海洋科学快报：英文版, 2015, 第 1 作者
（72） Drought Response to Air Temperature Change over China on the Centennial Scale, Drought Response to Air Temperature Change over China on the Centennial Scale, ATMOSPHERIC AND OCEANIC SCIENCE LETTERS, 2015, 通讯作者
（73） Sensitivity of Climate Changes to CO2 Emissions in China, Sensitivity of Climate Changes to CO2 Emissions in China, 大气和海洋科学快报：英文版, 2014, 第 1 作者
（74） Projection and uncertainty analysis of global precipitation-related extremes using CMIP5 models, INTERNATIONALJOURNALOFCLIMATOLOGY, 2014, 通讯作者
（75） Sensitivity of Climate Changes to CO2 Emissions in China, Sensitivity of Climate Changes to CO2 Emissions in China, ATMOSPHERIC AND OCEANIC SCIENCE LETTERS, 2014, 通讯作者
（76） Robustness of Precipitation Projections in China:Comparison between CMIP5 and CMIP3 Models, Robustness of Precipitation Projections in China:Comparison between CMIP5 and CMIP3 Models, 大气和海洋科学快报：英文版, 2014, 
（77） Robustness of Precipitation Projections in China:Comparison between CMIP5 and CMIP3 Models, Robustness of Precipitation Projections in China:Comparison between CMIP5 and CMIP3 Models, 大气和海洋科学快报：英文版, 2014, 第 1 作者
（78） CMIP5模式对21世纪末中国极端降水事件变化的预估, 科学通报, 2013, 第 1 作者
（79） How large precipitation change over global monsoon regions by CMIP5 models, Atmos. Oceanic Sci. Lett., 2013, 第 1 作者
（80） How Large Precipitation Changes over Global Monsoon Regions by CMIP5 Models?, How Large Precipitation Changes over Global Monsoon Regions by CMIP5 Models?, 大气和海洋科学快报：英文版, 2013, 第 1 作者
（81） Projected change in extreme rainfall events in China by the end of the 21st century using CMIP5 models, CHINESE SCIENCE BULLETIN, 2013, 通讯作者
（82） Future Changes of Drought and Flood Events in China under a Global Warming Scenario, Future Changes of Drought and Flood Events in China under a Global Warming Scenario, ATMOSPHERIC AND OCEANIC SCIENCE LETTERS, 2013, 通讯作者
（83） Future Changes of Drought and Flood Events in China under a Global Warming Scenario, Future Changes of Drought and Flood Events in China under a Global Warming Scenario, 大气和海洋科学快报：英文版, 2013, 第 1 作者
（84） Projected change in East Asian summer monsoon precipitation under RCP scenario, METEOROLOGY AND ATMOSPHERIC PHYSICS, 2013, 通讯作者
（85） A Statistical Downscaling Model for Forecasting Summer Rainfall in China from DEMETER Hindcast Datasets, WEATHER AND FORECASTING, 2012, 第 1 作者
（86） Decadal Features of Heavy Rainfall Events in Eastern China, ACTA METEOROLOGICA SINICA, 2012, 第 1 作者
（87） 新疆夏季降水年代际转型的归因分析, Possible mechanism for the interdecadal change of Xinjiang summer precipitation, 地球物理学报, 2012, 第 1 作者
（88） Extreme Climate in China: Facts, Simulation and Projection, METEOROLOGISCHE ZEITSCHRIFT, 2012, 第 3 作者
（89） A statistical downscaling scheme to improve global precipitation forecasting, METEOROLOGY AND ATMOSPHERIC PHYSICS, 2012, 第 2 作者
（90） Possible mechanism for the interdecadal change of Xinjiang summer precipitation, CHINESE JOURNAL OF GEOPHYSICS-CHINESE EDITION, 2012, 通讯作者
（91） Improving the Prediction of the East Asian Summer Monsoon: New Approaches, WEATHER AND FORECASTING, 2012, 第 3 作者
（92） Climate control for southeastern China moisture and precipitation: Indian or East Asian monsoon?, JOURNAL OF GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH-ATMOSPHERES, 2012, 第 2 作者
（93） CGCM projections of heavy rainfall events in China, INTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF CLIMATOLOGY, 2012, 通讯作者
（94） Decadal Features of Heavy Rainfall Events in Eastern China, Decadal Features of Heavy Rainfall Events in Eastern China, 气象学报：英文版, 2012, 第 1 作者
（95） 我国夏季降水及相关大气环流场未来变化的预估及不确定性分析, The Projection and Uncertainty Analysis of Summer Precipitation in China and the Variations of Associated Atmospheric Circulation Field, 气候与环境研究, 2012, 第 1 作者
（96） DEMETER耦合气候模式对西北太平洋台风活动及其影响因子的预测效能, 科学通报, 2011, 第 2 作者
（97） Predictability of western North Pacific typhoon activity and its factors using DEMETER coupled models, CHINESE SCIENCE BULLETIN, 2011, 第 2 作者
（98） Predictability of western North Pacific typhoon activity and its factors using DEMETER coupled models, Predictability of western North Pacific typhoon activity and its factors using DEMETER coupled models, 中国科学通报：英文版, 2011, 第 2 作者
（99） 陆面过程对2007年淮河流域强降水数值预报的影响分析, ANALYSIS OF THE IMPACT OF LAND SURFACE PROCESS ON NUMERICAL WEATHER PREDICATION OF INTENSIVE SUMMER RAINFALL OVER HUAI RIVER IN 2007, 热带气象学报, 2010, 第 3 作者
（100） Spatial-temporal features of intense snowfall events in china and their possible change, JOURNAL OF GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH-ATMOSPHERES, 2010, 第 4 作者
（101） How the ＂Best＂ Models Project the Future Precipitation Change in China, How the ＂Best＂ Models Project the Future Precipitation Change in China, 大气科学进展：英文版, 2009, 第 1 作者
（102） How the "Best" Models Project the Future Precipitation Change in China, ADVANCES IN ATMOSPHERIC SCIENCES, 2009, 通讯作者
（103） How the ＂Best＂ Models Project the Future Precipitation Change in China, How the ＂Best＂ Models Project the Future Precipitation Change in China, 大气科学进展：英文版, 2009, 第 1 作者
（104） Synergetic roadmap of carbon neutrality and clean air for China, ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCE AND ECOTECHNOLOGY, 第 9 作者

   

（ 1 ） 中国科学院青年创新促进会, 负责人, 中国科学院计划, 2013-01--2016-12
（ 2 ） 中国干旱空间格局变化的归因分析与预估研究, 负责人, 国家任务, 2014-01--2016-12
（ 3 ） 青藏高原隆升的区域和全球环境效应的数值模拟研究, 参与, 国家任务, 2012-01--2016-12
（ 4 ） 中高纬海洋异常对东亚冬季气候的影响及其在预测中的应用, 参与, 国家任务, 2013-01--2015-12
（ 5 ） 全球变化与环境风险关系及其适应性范式研究, 参与, 国家任务, 2012-01--2016-12
（ 6 ） 全球变化人口与经济系统风险形成机制及评估研究, 参与, 国家任务, 2016-06--2021-05
（ 7 ） 中国北方地区极端气候的变化及成因研究, 参与, 国家任务, 2016-06--2021-05
（ 8 ） 极端气候变化及机制研究, 负责人, 国家任务, 2020-01--2022-12
（ 9 ） 人类活动影响中国干旱变化的量化归因与机制研究, 负责人, 国家任务, 2021-01--2024-12
（ 10 ） 中国东北区域陆—气跨圈层相互作用过程和机制, 负责人, 国家任务, 2022-12--2027-11
（ 11 ） 年代际气候变化动力学及预测, 参与, 国家任务, 2023-01--2027-12