基本信息
翟盘茂  男  博导  中国气象科学研究院
电子邮件: pmzhai@cma.gov.cn
通信地址: 北京市海淀区中关村南大街46号中国气象科学研究院
邮政编码:

招生信息

   
招生专业
070601-气象学
招生方向
极端天气事件诊断与预测
气候诊断与预测

教育背景

1987-09--1990-03   南京大学   硕士学位
1981-09--1984-07   南京大学   学士学位

工作经历

   
工作简历
2010-05~2014-09,中国气象科学研究院, 副院长
2004-04~2010-04,预测减灾司, 副司长
1990-04~2004-03,国家气候中心, 气候诊断
1987-09~1990-03,南京大学, 硕士学位
1984-09~1987-08,国家气象中心, 气候分析
1981-09~1984-07,南京大学, 学士学位
社会兼职
2015-10-25-今,IPCC WGI, Co-Chair
2010-11-04-今,中国气象学会, 秘书长

教授课程

气候变化科学概论

专利与奖励

   
奖励信息
(1) 极端气候的统计理论和变化规律及其未来预估, 一等奖, 省级, 2015
(2) 地理学报创刊80周年高被引频次论文奖, 其他, 2014
(3) 我国短期气候预测系统的研究, 一等奖, 国家级, 2003
(4) 全球气候监测与诊断系统研究, 二等奖, 省级, 1993

出版信息

   
发表论文
(1) Achieving Paris Agreement temperature goals requires carbon neutrality by middle century with far-reaching transitions in the whole society - ScienceDirect, Advances in Climate Change Research, 2021, 第 2 作者
(2) Divergent responses of ecosystem water use efficiency to drought timing over Northern Eurasia, Environmental Research Letters, 2021, 第 2 作者
(3) Change in drought conditions and its impacts on vegetation growth over the Tibetan Plateau, Advances in Climate Change Research, 2021, 第 3 作者
(4) 海洋和冰冻圈变化有关的极端事件、突变及其影响与风险, 气候变化研究进展, 2020, 第 2 作者
(5) 极端天气气候事件变化对荒漠化、土地退化和粮食安全的影响, 气候变化研究进展, 2020, 第 3 作者
(6) Contribution of Changes in Synoptic‐Scale Circulation Patterns to the Past Summer Precipitation Regime Shift in Eastern China, Geophysical Research Letters, 2020, 第 2 作者
(7) Differing mechanisms for the 2008 and 2016 wintertime cold events in southern China, International Journal of Climatology, 2020, 第 2 作者
(8) New perspectives on 'warming–wetting' trend in Xinjiang, China, Advances in Climate Change Research, 2020, 第 2 作者
(9) Changes in compound drought and hot extreme events in summer over populated eastern China, Weather and Climate Extremes, 2020, 第 2 作者
(10) More frequent and widespread persistent compound drought and heat event observed in China, Scientific Reports, 2020, 第 2 作者
(11) Toward understanding 1.5°C global warming influences on temperature and precipitation extremes at different timings: before and after overshooting, International Journal of Global Warming, 2020, 第 2 作者
(12) Re-Assessing Climatic Warming in China since 1900, Journal of Meteorological Research, 2020, 第 3 作者
(13) Characteristics of summer extreme precipitation in the Huai River basin and their relationship with East Asia summer monsoon during 1960–2014, International Journal of Climatology, 2019, 第 3 作者
(14) Pronounced extended duration of tropical cyclone quiescent periods over the western North Pacific in the super El Niño decaying years., International Journal of Climatology, 2019, 第 2 作者
(15) Persistent precipitation extremes in the Yangtze River Valley prolonged by opportune configuration among atmospheric teleconnections, Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society, 2019, 第 2 作者
(16) 气候变化和城市可持续发展, 科学通报, 2019, 第 1 作者
(17) Atmospheric circulation patterns associated with persistent wet-freezing events over southern China, International Journal of Climatology, 2018, 第 2 作者
(18) Projected changes of thermal growing season over Northern Eurasia in a 1.5℃ and 2℃ warming world, Environmental Research Letters, 2018, 第 2 作者
(19) Changes in persistent and non-persistent extreme precipitation in China from 1961 to 2016, Advances in Climate Change Research, 2018, 第 2 作者
(20) A review of climate change attribution studies, Journal of Meteorological Research, 2018, 第 1 作者
(21) Comparative Assessment of Two Objective Forecast Models for Cases of Persistent Extreme Precipitation Events in the Yangtze–Huai River Valley in Summer 2016, Weather and Forecasting, 2018, 第 2 作者
(22) Potential influence of the East Asia–Pacific teleconnection pattern on persistent precipitation in South China: implications of atypical Yangtze River valley cases, Weather and Forecasting, 2018, 第 2 作者
(23) Detectable Impacts of the Past Half‐Degree Global Warming on Summertime Hot Extremes in China, Geophysical Research Letters, 2018, 第 2 作者
(24) Facing climate change-related extreme events in megacities of China in the context of 1.5° C global warming., Current Opinion in Environmental Sustainability, 2018, 第 2 作者
(25) Implications of differential effects between 1.5 °C and 2 °C global warming on temperature and precipitation extremes in China's urban agglomerations., International Journal of Climatology, 2018, 第 2 作者
(26) Persisting and strong warming hiatus over eastern China during the past two decades, Environmental Research Letters, 2017, 第 2 作者
(27) Potential Influence of the East Asia–Pacific Teleconnection Pattern on Persistent Precipitation in South China: Implications of Atypical Yangtze River Valley Cases, Weather and Forecasting, 2017, 第 2 作者
(28) Changes in temporal concentration property of summer precipitation in China during 1961–2010 based on a new index, Journal of Meteorological Research, 2017, 第 2 作者
(29) Implications of differential effects between 1.5 and 2 °C global warming on temperature and precipitation extremes in China's urban agglomerations, International Journal of Climatology, 2017, 第 2 作者
(30) Comparative Assessment of Two Objective Forecast Models for Cases of Persistent Extreme Precipitation Events in the Yangtze–Huai River Valley in Summer 2016, Weather and Forecasting, 2017, 第 2 作者
(31) Simultaneous modulations of precipitation and temperature extremes in Southern parts of China by the boreal summer intraseasonal oscillation, Climate Dynamics, 2017, 第 2 作者
(32) Low-frequency oscillations of East Asia/Pacific teleconnection and simultaneous weather anomalies/extremes over eastern Asia, International Journal of Climatology, 2017, 第 2 作者
(33) Revisiting summertime hot extremes in China during 1961-2015: overlooked compound extremes and significant changes, Geophysical Research Letters, 2017, 第 2 作者
(34) Multi-sliding time windows based changing trend of mean temperature and its association with the global-warming hiatus, Journal of Meteorological Research, 2016, 第 2 作者
(35) The strong El Niño of 2015/16 and its dominant impacts on global and China's climate, Journal of Meteorological Research, 2016, 第 1 作者
(36) Impact of Urban Land-Use Change in Eastern China on the East Asian Subtropical Monsoon:A Numerical Study, Journal of Meteorological Research, 2016, 第 3 作者
(37) A New Forecast Model Based on the Analog Method for Persistent Extreme Precipitation, Weather and Forecasting, 2016, 第 2 作者
(38) Mechanisms for concurrent Low-latitude circulation anomalies responsible for persistent extreme precipitation in the Yangtze River Valley, Climate Dynamics, 2016, 第 2 作者
(39) Synoptic-scale precursors of the East Asia/Pacific teleconnection pattern responsible for persistent extreme precipitation in the Yangtze River Valley, Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society, 2015, 第 2 作者
(40) An assessment of the predictability of the East Asian Subtropical Westerly Jet based on TIGGE data, Advances in Atmospheric Sciences, 2015, 第 3 作者
(41) Evaluation of Forecast Performance of Asian Summer Monsoon Low-Level Wind using TIGGE Dataset, Weather and Forecasting, 2015, 第 2 作者
(42) 我国持续性天气异常成因与预报方法研究回顾与未来展望, Mechanism and forecasting method of persistent extreme weather events: Review and prospect, 地球科学进展, 2013, 第 1 作者
(43) Two types of typical circulation pattern for persistent extreme precipitation in Central–Eastern China, Q. J. R. Meteorol. Soc, 2013, 第 2 作者
(44) Precursor Circulation Features for Persistent Extreme Precipitation in Central-Eastern China, Weather and Forecasting , 2013, 第 2 作者
(45) Persistent extreme precipitation events in China during 1951-2010, Climate Research, 2013, 第 2 作者
(46) Changes in persistent and non-persistent flood season precipitation over South China during 1961–2010., Acta Meteor. Sinica, 2013, 第 2 作者
(47) Changes in Climate Regionalization Indices in China during 1961–2010, Adv. Atmos. Sci., 2013, 第 2 作者
(48) 气候变暖背景下的极端天气气候事件与防灾减灾, Extreme weather/climate events and disaster prevention and mitigation under global warming background, 中国工程科学, 2012, 第 1 作者
发表著作
( 1 ) 厄尔尼诺(全球变化热门话题丛书), 气象出版社, 2003-01, 第 1 作者
( 2 ) 气候变化与灾害, 气象出版社, 2010-01, 第 1 作者
( 3 ) 中国持续性极端降水事件诊断, 气象出版社, 2016-10, 第 1 作者

科研活动

   
科研项目
( 1 ) 我国持续性重大天气形成机理与预测理论和方法研究, 负责人, 国家任务, 2012-01--2016-12
( 2 ) 青藏高原及其以东地区降水日变化特征对气候变暖的响应, 负责人, 国家任务, 2012-01--2015-12
( 3 ) 中国降水持续性结构变化及其原因研究, 负责人, 国家任务, 2016-01--2019-12
( 4 ) 中国区域重大极端天气气候事件的归因方法研究, 负责人, 国家任务, 2018-12--2021-11