基本信息
汪寿阳  男  博导  中国科学院数学与系统科学研究院
电子邮件: sywang@amss.ac.cn
通信地址: 中关村东路55号
邮政编码: 100190

研究领域

计量模型与预测、风险管理、全球供应链管理、决策分析

招生信息

招生单位:中国科学院数学与系统科学研究院、中国科学院大学经济与管理学院

招生专业
120100-管理科学与工程
020209-数量经济学
020204-金融学
招生方向
全球供应链管理、决策分析
计量模型与预测
风险管理、金融工程

教育背景

1983-11--1986-12   中国科学院系统科学研究所   博士
1982-02--1983-10   中国科学院系统科学研究所   硕士
1978-03--1982-01   中山大学   学士

工作经历


工作简历
2015-08~现在, 中国科学院大学经济与管理学院, 院长
2011-04~2015-07,中国科学院大学管理学院, 常务副院长
2006-02~现在, 中科院预测科学研究中心, 主任
2003-06~2017-07,中国科学院数学与系统科学研究院, 副院长
2000-09~现在, 中国科学院数学与系统科学研究院, 研究员
1997-03~2000-08,国家自然科学基金委管理科学部, 常务副主任
1994-10~1997-03,中国科学院系统科学研究所, 研究员
社会兼职
2020-04-22-今,国际预测者协会, 理事
2013-01-01-今,中国软科学研究会, 常务理事
2012-05-17-今,中国管理现代化研究会, 副理事长
2012-02-02-今,国际多目标决策学会, 执行理事
2011-03-23-今,亚太工业工程与管理学会, 理事
2011-01-01-今,国际全局优化学会, 副理事长
2010-10-31-2018-10-31,中国系统工程学会, 理事长
2010-05-01-今,国际金融风险管理协会, 副会长
2008-11-29-2014-12-30,国际知识与系统科学学会, 理事长
2004-10-23-2012-10-31,中国运筹学会, 副理事长

奖励信息

   
奖励信息
(1) 2016年度高等学校科学研究优秀成果奖, 一等奖, 部委级, 2016
(2) 第七届高等学校人文社会科学科学研究优秀成果获奖, 三等奖, 部委级, 2015
(3) Jr. Walter Scott奖, 其他, 2014
(4) 全国优秀科技工作者, 部委级, 2014
(5) 北京市科学技术奖, 二等奖, 省级, 2013
(6) 北京市哲学人文社科优秀成果奖, 二等奖, 省级, 2012
(7) 国务院办公厅政务信息报送先进个人, , 其他, 2011
(8) 复旦管理学杰出贡献奖, , 其他, 2009
(9) Green Group Award for Business Intelligence and Computational Finance, 特等奖, 其他, 2008
(10) 教育部科技进步奖, 一等奖, 部委级, 2007
(11) 北京市科技进步奖, 一等奖, 部委级, 2005
(12) 中国科学院自然科学奖, 一等奖, 省级, 2001

出版信息

出版中英文学术专著40余部,在Nature等国际期刊上发表论文400余篇,其中SCI和SSCI收录300余篇,SCI和SSCI他引8000余篇次。

发表论文
(1) Coronavirus: limit short-term economic damage, Nature, 2020-03, 通讯作者
(2) Modeling deep decarbonization: Robust energy policy and climate action, Applied Energy, 2020-03, 通讯作者
(3) Potential energy conservation and CO2 emissions reduction related to China's road transportation, Journal of Cleaner Production, 2020-02, 通讯作者
(4) Information aggregation in a financial market with general signal structure, Journal of Economic Theory, 2019-09, 第 5 作者
(5) A decomposition-integration model with dynamic fuzzy reconstruction for crude oil price prediction and the implications for sustainable development, Journal of Cleaner Production, 2019-08, 第 3 作者
(6) A New Credit Spread to Predict Economic Activities in China, Journal of Systems Science & Complexity, 2019-08, 通讯作者
(7) Nonlinear vector auto-regression neural network for forecasting air passenger flow, Journal of Air Transport Management, 2019-07, 通讯作者
(8) Market inefficiencies associated with pricing oil stocks during shocks, ENERGY ECONOMICS, 2019-06, 第 3 作者
(9) Regional development and carbon emissions in China, ENERGY ECONOMICS, 2019-06, 通讯作者
(10) Artificial Bee Colony Algorithm Based on Novel Mechanism for Fuzzy Portfolio Selection, IEEE TRANSACTIONS ON FUZZY SYSTEMS, 2019-05, 第 4 作者
(11) Platform Competition in Peer-to-Peer Lending Considering Risk Control Ability, EUROPEAN JOURNAL OF OPERATIONAL RESEARCH, 2019-04, 第 3 作者
(12) Forecasting tourist arrivals with machine learning and internet search index, TOURISM MANAGEMENT, 2019-02, 通讯作者
(13) Asymmetric pass-through of oil prices to gasoline prices with interval time series modelling, ENERGY ECONOMICS, 2019-02, 第 4 作者
(14) Interval decomposition ensemble approach for crude oil price forecasting, ENERGY ECONOMICS, 2018-10, 第 3 作者
(15) Crude oil price forecasting based on internet concern using an extreme learning machine, INTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF FORECASTING, 2018-09, 第 5 作者
(16) 《巴黎协定》中我国能源和气候政策目标:综合评估与政策选择, 经济研究, 2018-09, 第 4 作者
(17) Threshold autoregressive models for interval-valued time series data, Journal of Econometrics, 2018, 第 4 作者
(18) The future natural gas consumption in China: Based on the LMDI-STIRPAT-PLSR framework and scenario analysis, Energy Policy, 2018, 第 5 作者
(19) Analysis on shock effect of China's high-speed railway on aviation transport, Transportation Research Part a-Policy and Practice, 2018, 第 4 作者
(20) Achieving China's energy and climate policy targets in 2030 under multiple uncertainties, Energy Economics, 2018, 第 4 作者
(21) Big data in tourism research: A literature review, Tourism Management, 2018, 第 4 作者
(22) Flexible Assembly Job-Shop Scheduling With Sequence-Dependent Setup Times and Part Sharing in a Dynamic Environment: Constraint Programming Model, Mixed-Integer Programming Model, and Dispatching Rules, IEEE Transactions on Engineering Management, 2018, 第 2 作者
(23) Supply option contracts with spot market and demand information updating, European Journal of Operational Research, 2018, 第 4 作者
(24) No advertising, but more sponsorship? A case study of e-red envelope at China's Spring Festival Gala, CHINESE MANAGEMENT STUDIES, 2017, 第 4 作者
(25) Strong-weak collaborative management in coping supply chain disruption risk transmission based on scale-free networks, APPLIED ECONOMICS, 2017, 第 4 作者
(26) Time-varying coefficient vector autoregressions model based on dynamic correlation with an application to crude oil and stock markets, ENVIRONMENTAL RESEARCH, 2017, 第 3 作者
(27) A hybrid transfer learning model for crude oil price forecasting, STATISTICS AND ITS INTERFACE, 2017, 第 5 作者
(28) The Analysis for the Cargo Volume with Hybrid Discrete Wavelet Modeling, INTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF INFORMATION TECHNOLOGY & DECISION MAKING, 2017, 第 2 作者
(29) Exploring evolution and emerging trends in business model study: a co-citation analysis, SCIENTOMETRICS, 2017, 第 3 作者
(30) Time-varying coefficient vector autoregressions model based on dynamic correlation with an application to crude oil and stock markets, ENVIRONMENTAL RESEARCH, 2017, 第 3 作者
(31) Data characteristic analysis and model selection for container throughput forecasting within a decomposition-ensemble methodology, TRANSPORTATION RESEARCH PART E-LOGISTICS AND TRANSPORTATION REVIEW, 2017, 第 4 作者
(32) TESTING STRICT STATIONARITY WITH APPLICATIONS TO MACROECONOMIC TIME SERIES, INTERNATIONAL ECONOMIC REVIEW, 2017, 第 3 作者
(33) Strategy Analysis of Recycling and Remanufacturing by Remanufacturers in Closed-Loop Supply Chain, SUSTAINABILITY, 2017, 第 4 作者
(34) Mean-risk analysis of wholesale price contracts with stochastic price-dependent demand, ANNALS OF OPERATIONS RESEARCH, 2017, 第 4 作者
(35) What determines China's crude oil importing trade patterns? Empirical evidences from 55 countries between 1992 and 2015, ENERGY POLICY, 2017, 第 3 作者
(36) The determinants of Chinese nonferrous metals imports and exports, RESOURCES POLICY, 2017, 第 3 作者
(37) Decisions on Remanufacturing with WTP Disparity and Recycling Competition under Government Subsidies, SUSTAINABILITY, 2017, 第 4 作者
(38) Manufacturers'/remanufacturers' inventory control strategies with cap-and-trade regulation, JOURNAL OF CLEANER PRODUCTION, 2017, 第 4 作者
(39) The Effect of Carbon Tax in Aviation Industry on the Multilateral Simulation Game, SUSTAINABILITY, 2017, 第 3 作者
(40) A new dynamic integrated approach for wind speed forecasting, APPLIED ENERGY, 2017, 第 4 作者
(41) Energy efficiency decision and selection of main engines in a sustainable shipbuilding supply chain, TRANSPORTATION RESEARCH PART D-TRANSPORT AND ENVIRONMENT, 2017, 第 3 作者
(42) Information processing structures and decision making delays in MRP and JIT, INTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF PRODUCTION ECONOMICS, 2017, 第 3 作者
(43) Complex Dynamics Induced by Nonlinear Pollution Absorption, Pollution Emission Rate and Effectiveness of Abatement Technology in an OLG Model, SUSTAINABILITY, 2017, 第 3 作者
(44) Impact of Energy Conservation and Emissions Reduction Policy Means Coordination on Economic Growth: Quantitative Evidence from China, SUSTAINABILITY, 2017, 第 5 作者
(45) The Analysis for the Cargo Volume with Hybrid Discrete Wavelet Modeling, INTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF INFORMATION TECHNOLOGY & DECISION MAKING, 2017, 第 2 作者
(46) INTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF INFORMATION TECHNOLOGY & DECISION MAKING, SCIENTOMETRICS, 2017, 第 3 作者
(47) Role of endogenous energy efficiency improvement in global climate change mitigation, ENERGY EFFICIENCY, 2017, 第 4 作者
(48) Regional technical efficiency of Chinese Iron and steel industry based on bootstrap network data envelopment analysis, SOCIO-ECONOMIC PLANNING SCIENCES, 2017, 第 5 作者
(49) An efficient integrated nonparametric entropy estimator of serial dependence, ECONOMETRIC REVIEWS, 2017, 第 4 作者
(50) Bullwhip and anti-bullwhip effects in a supply chain, INTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF PRODUCTION RESEARCH, 2017, 第 3 作者
(51) 社会资本与技术创新能否打破“资源诅咒”?——基于面板门槛效应的研究, 经济研究, 2016, 第 2 作者
(52) Productivity growth and environmental efficiency of the nonferrous metals industry: an empirical study of China, JOURNAL OF CLEANER PRODUCTION, 2016, 第 2 作者
(53) Fuel efficiency and emission in China's road transport sector: Induced effect and rebound effect, TECHNOLOGICAL FORECASTING AND SOCIAL CHANGE, 2016, 第 3 作者
(54) Approximate representation of the Pareto frontier in multiparty negotiations: Decentralized methods and privacy preservation, EUROPEAN JOURNAL OF OPERATIONAL RESEARCH, 2016, 第 2 作者
(55) Analysis of road transportation energy consumption demand in China, TRANSPORTATION RESEARCH PART D-TRANSPORT AND ENVIRONMENT, 2016, 第 3 作者
(56) Comparing risks with reference points: A stochastic dominance approach, INSURANCE MATHEMATICS & ECONOMICS, 2016, 第 3 作者
(57) Model averaging based on leave-subject-out cross-validation, JOURNAL OF ECONOMETRICS, 2016, 第 3 作者
(58) Measuring efficiencies of multi-period and multi-division systems associated with DEA: An application to OECD countries' national innovation systems, EXPERT SYSTEMS WITH APPLICATIONS, 2016, 第 3 作者
(59) A mean-shift algorithm for large-scale planar maximal covering location problems, EUROPEAN JOURNAL OF OPERATIONAL RESEARCH, 2016, 第 4 作者
(60) Efficiency decomposition with shared inputs and outputs in two-stage DEA, JOURNAL OF SYSTEMS SCIENCE AND SYSTEMS ENGINEERING, 2016, 第 4 作者
(61) An improved grey neural network model for predicting transportation disruptions, EXPERT SYSTEMS WITH APPLICATIONS, 2016, 第 4 作者
(62) Throughput estimation based port development and management policies analysis, MARITIME POLICY & MANAGEMENT, 2016, 第 2 作者
(63) The effects of oil price shocks on output and inflation in China, ENERGY ECONOMICS, 2016, 第 3 作者
(64) Evolving competition between Hong Kong and Shenzhen ports, MARITIME POLICY & MANAGEMENT, 2015, 第 3 作者
(65) Time-consistent investment strategy under partial information, INSURANCE MATHEMATICS & ECONOMICS, 2015, 第 3 作者
(66) The potential for reducing China's carbon dioxide emissions: Role of foreign-invested enterprises, GLOBAL ENVIRONMENTAL CHANGE-HUMAN AND POLICY DIMENSIONS, 2015, 第 3 作者
(67) The "six-element" analysis method for the research on the characteristics of terrorist activities, ANNALS OF OPERATIONS RESEARCH, 2015, 通讯作者
(68) A novel mode-characteristic-based decomposition ensemble model for nuclear energy consumption forecasting, ANNALS OF OPERATIONS RESEARCH, 2015, 通讯作者
(69) Demand information and spot price information: Supply chains trading in spot markets, EUROPEAN JOURNAL OF OPERATIONAL RESEARCH, 2015, 通讯作者
(70) The role of Japanese Candlestick in DVAR model, JOURNAL OF SYSTEMS SCIENCE & COMPLEXITY, 2015, 通讯作者
(71) Robust Novelty Detection via Worst Case CVaR Minimization, IEEE TRANSACTIONS ON NEURAL NETWORKS AND LEARNING SYSTEMS, 2015, 第 3 作者
(72) How does Google search affect trader positions and crude oil prices?, ECONOMIC MODELLING, 2015, 第 3 作者
(73) Feature-selection-based dynamic transfer ensemble model for customer churn prediction, KNOWLEDGE AND INFORMATION SYSTEMS, 2015, 通讯作者
(74) Optimal procurement of long-term contracts in the presence of imperfect spot market, OMEGA-INTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF MANAGEMENT SCIENCE, 2015, 第 4 作者
(75) OPTIMAL SELECTION OF CLEANER PRODUCTS IN A GREEN SUPPLY CHAIN WITH RISK AVERSION, JOURNAL OF INDUSTRIAL AND MANAGEMENT OPTIMIZATION, 2015, 第 3 作者
(76) A MIDAS modelling framework for Chinese inflation index forecast incorporating Google search data, ELECTRONIC COMMERCE RESEARCH AND APPLICATIONS, 2015, 第 3 作者
(77) Demand disruption and coordination of supply chain via effort and revenue sharing, APPLIED ECONOMICS, 2015, 第 3 作者
(78) Domestic air passenger traffic and economic growth in China: Evidence from heterogeneous panel models, JOURNAL OF AIR TRANSPORT MANAGEMENT, 2015, 通讯作者
(79) A descent method for mixed variational inequalities, JOURNAL OF SYSTEMS SCIENCE & COMPLEXITY, 2015, 第 3 作者
(80) Impacts of border carbon adjustments on China sectoral emissions: Simulations with a dynamic computable general equilibrium model, China Economic Review, 2013, 第 4 作者
(81) A fuzzy multi-objective model for provider selection in data communication services with different QoS levels, International Journal of Production Economics, 2013, 第 3 作者
(82) A novel hybrid ensemble learning paradigm for nuclear energy consumption forecasting, Applied Energy, 2012, 第 3 作者
(83) Optimal pricing and order quantity for the newsvendor problem with free shipping, International Journal of Production Economics, 2012, 第 2 作者
(84) BETTER THAN DYNAMIC MEAN-VARIANCE: TIME INCONSISTENCY AND FREE CASH FLOW STREAM, Mathematical Finance, 2012, 第 3 作者
(85) An information diffusion-based model of oil futures price, Energy Economics, 2012, 第 3 作者
(86) Optimal ordering and pricing strategies in the presence of a B2B spot market, European Journal of Operational Research, 2012, 第 2 作者
(87) Empirical Investigation of EachNet: The eBay Model of C2C Online Auction in China , IEEE Transactions on Engineering Management, 2012, 第 4 作者
(88) Rough set and scatter search metaheuristic based feature selection for credit scoring, Expert Systems with Applications, 2012, 第 2 作者
(89) Genetic algorithm-based multi-criteria project portfolio selection, Annals of Operations Research , 2012, 第 2 作者
(90) Optimal investment and uncertainty on China carbon emission abatement, Energy Policy, 2012, 第 3 作者
(91) Demand Forecast of Petroleum Product Consumption in the Chinese Transportation Industry, Energies , 2012, 第 3 作者
(92) The size of stable cartels: An analytical approach, International Journal of Industrial Organization, 2012, 第 3 作者
(93) Fuzzy probabilistic rough set model on two universes and its applications, International Journal of Approximate Reasoning, 2012, 第 3 作者
(94) How does China macro-economy response to the world crude oil price shock: A structural dynamic factor model approach, Computers and Industrial Engineering, 2012, 第 3 作者
(95) Ensemble ANNs-PSO-GA Approach for Day-ahead Stock E-exchange Prices Forecasting, International Journal of Computational Intelligence Systems , 2012, 第 4 作者
(96) Analysis of production-inventory system for deteriorating items with demand disruption, International Journal of Production Research, 2012, 第 2 作者
(97) An interval method for studying the relationship between the Australian dollar exchange rate and the gold price, Journal of Systems Science and Complexity , 2012, 第 3 作者
(98) Dynamic optimal portfolio with maximum absolute deviation model, Journal of Global Optimization , 2012, 第 2 作者
(99) The simple economics of bid criteria, Applied Economics Letters, 2011, 第 2 作者
出版著作
(1) 大宗商品国际话语权研究, Studies on Pricing of Large Scale Commodities , 科学出版社, 2007-05, 第 1 作者
(2) 2011年全球Top20集装箱港口预测报告, 2011 Top20, Global-Link Publisher, 2011-03, 第 1 作者
(3) 2012年全球Top20集装箱港口预测报告, 2012 Forcasting Report on Global Top20 container ports, Global-Link Publisher, 2012-05, 第 1 作者
(4) 全球有色金属消费与进出口贸易研究, Research on consumption and import and export trade of Global nonferrous metals, 科学出版社, 2012-10, 第 2 作者
(5) 供应链质量风险管理, Supply Chain quality risk control , 科学出版社, 2013-04, 第 2 作者
(6) 中国出口信用保险研究, Research on Export Credit Insurance of China, 科学出版社, 2013-11, 第 1 作者
(7) 宏观经济预警方法应用与预警系统, 科学出版社, 2015-01, 第 1 作者
(8) 国际石油期货价格预测及风险度量研究, 科学出版社, 2016-02, 第 3 作者
(9) 物流金融创新:运作与管理, 科学出版社, 2016-03, 第 4 作者
(10) 复杂时间序列预测技术研究, 科学出版社, 2016-05, 第 4 作者
(11) 基于随机规划的多阶段投资组合选择, 科学出版社, 2016-05, 第 3 作者
(12) 商业模式研究全景图, 科学出版社, 2016-06, 第 1 作者
(13) 供应链工程——谱写中国商业新篇章, 科学出版社, 2017-02, 第 1 作者
(14) 商业模式冰山理论:方法与案例, 科学出版社, 2017-06, 第 1 作者
(15) Container Port Production and Management, Springer, 2017-07, 第 2 作者
(16) Critical Factors for Berth Productivity in Container Terminal, Springer, 2017-07, 第 2 作者
(17) Contract Analysis and Design for Supply Chains with Stochastic Demand, Springer, 2017-07, 第 3 作者
(18) Forecasting Air Travel Demand: Looking at China, Routledge, 2018-07, 第 3 作者
(19) 宏观经济预测方法应用与预测系统, 科学出版社, 2019-06, 第 1 作者

科研活动

   
科研项目
( 1 ) 国际收支预测及预警系统研究, 主持, 国家级, 2012-01--2014-12
( 2 ) 中国人民银行货币监测与分析系统, 主持, 国家级, 2010-01--2013-12
( 3 ) 全球经济监测与政策模拟仿真平台建设预测项目, 主持, 部委级, 2011-12--2014-12
( 4 ) 中国人民银行宏观经济预测与政策效应模型及系统开发项目, 主持, 国家级, 2012-08--2015-08
( 5 ) 面向经济、社会和环境协调发展的现代物流管理研究, 主持, 国家级, 2014-01--2018-12
( 6 ) 促进经济、社会和环境协调发展的物流创新, 主持, 国家级, 2014-01--2018-12
( 7 ) 经济预测及其政策分析, 主持, 国家级, 2016-10--2017-09
( 8 ) 复杂经济系统的演化机理与预测预警, 主持, 部委级, 2016-01--2021-12
( 9 ) 面向国民营养的中国粮食安全研究, 主持, 部委级, 2017-01--2021-12
( 10 ) 计量建模与经济政策研究, 主持, 国家级, 2020-01--2024-12