Kailan Tian is currently an associate professor at Academy of Mathematics and Systems Science, Chinese Academy of Sciences and a research fellow at the University of Cambridge. He holds a Ph.D. degree of Economics from University of Groningen and a second Ph.D. degree of Management from University of Chinese Academy of Sciences. His academic efforts for quantitative economics, input-output modelling, global value chains, and climate change economics, have resulted in 40+ publications in high-impact journals including Nature Communications, Nature Sustainability, Regional Studies, Economic Systems Research, and Energy Economics, international conferences and committee invites. He received positive feedbacks from main leaders of Chinese central government and letters of commendation from Ministry of Commerce of China. His written evidence on net zero emissions and trade was accepted by the UK Parliament.
Research Areas
Input-Output modelling and analysis, Quantitative economics, Global value chains, Climate change economics
Education
2015.09-2018.06, Ph.D. in Economics, University of Groningen
Thesis: Economic and environmental upgrading in an era of globalized and fragmented value chains (defended the thesis and obtained the Ph.D degree in February 2022)
Supervisor: Prof. Erik Dietzenbacher
2012.09-2018.06, Ph.D. in Management, University of Chinese Academy of Sciences
Thesis: A global value chain perspective on industrial upgrading and trade protectionism (in Chinese, defended the thesis and obtained the Ph.D degree in June 2018)
Supervisor: Prof. Cuihong Yang
2008.09-2012.06, B.S. in Management, Beijing Normal University
Experience
Work Experience
2024.04-, Associate Professor, Academy of Mathematics and Systems Science (AMSS), Chinese Academy of Sciences (CAS)
2018.07-2024.03, Assistant Professor, AMSS, CAS
2024.11-2025.10, Academic Visitor, Department of Land Economy, University of Cambridge
2023.09-2024.09, Affiliate Academic, The Bartlett School of Sustainable Construction, University College London
Teaching Experience
Input-output analysis; Quantitative Economics
Publications
Selected Articles
2025
1. Tian, K., Zhang, Y., Meng, J., Zhang, Z., Shan, Y., Zheng, H., Nie, X., Yang, C. (2025) Leveraging multinational enterprises to reduce the escalating regional carbon inequality in China. Nature Communications, 16, 6603.
2. Shan, Y., Tian, K., Li, R., Guan, Y., Ou, J., Guan, D., Hubacek, K. (2025) Global methane footprints growth and drivers 1990-2023. Nature Communications.
3. Tian, K.*, Dietzenbacher, E., Yan, B., Jong-A-Pin, R. (2025) Economic gains from geographic shifts in international sourcing. Structural Change and Economic Dynamics, 72, 286-296.
4. Yang, Z., Wang, Z., Zheng, H., Tian, K., Song, J., Ma, S., Fan, J., Shan, Y., Zhang, D., Zhang, B. (2025) Environmental-social-economic synergy of China's investment on BRI countries. Resources, Conservation and Recycling, 214, 108039.
5. Yang, C., Tian, K.*, Gao, X. (2025) Supply chain resilience: measure, risk assessment and strategies. Fundamental Research, 5(2), 433-436.
2024
6. Tian, K.*, Chen, X. (2024) How Important are Sino-Latin American Trade for Economic Growth? A Trade in Value-Added Perspective. The Chinese Economy, 57(4), 233-245.
7. Lin, K., Tian, K., Gao, X., Zhao, Y., Yang, C. (2024) Responses of China's cross-border investors to domestic environmental regulations. Energy Economics, 131, 107371.
8. Zhang, J., Tian, K.*, Zhu, L., Yang, C. (2024) Are SME exporters dirtier? A novel input-output analysis distinguishing firm size heterogeneity. Structural Change and Economic Dynamics, 71, 145-156.
9. Sun, J., Tian, K., Jiang, W., Cole, M. (2024) Written evidence on net zero emissions and trade (NZT0001) accepted by the Energy Security and Net Zero Committee of UK Parliament. https://committees.parliament.uk/committee/664/energy-security-and-net-zero-committee/publications/written-evidence/
10. Ye, Y., Wang, H., Tian, K., Li, M. (2024) Supply chain risks and the cost of debt: Evidence from the COVID-19 pandemic. Research in International Business and Finance, 70, 102399.
11. Li, J., Wang, Z., Wang, J., Tian, K., Zhao, W., Zhang, Z., Zhang, H., Zheng, H., Li, Y. (2024) Consumption-based carbon emissions of 85 federal entities in Russia. Earth's Future, 12, e2023EF004323.
2023
12. Tian, K., Zhang, Z., Zhu, L., Yang, C., Li, S., He, J. (2023) Economic exposure to regional value chain disruption: evidence from Wuhan’s lockdown in China. Regional Studies, 57(3), 525-536.
13. Zhang, Z., Gao, X., Tian, K.*, Yang, C., Wang, S. (2023) China’s domestic industry redistribution facilitates carbon emissions mitigation. iScience, 26, 106844.
14. Tian, X., Xiong, Y., Mi, Z., Zhang, Q., Tian, K., Zhao, B., Dong, Z., Wang, S., Ding, D., Xing, J., Zhu, Y., Long, S., Zhang, P. (2023) Mismatched Social Welfare Allocation and PM2.5-Related Health Damage along Value Chains within China. Environmental Science & Technology, 57 (34), 12689-12700.
2022
15. Tian, K., Zhang, Y., Li, Y., Ming, X., Jiang, S., Duan, H., Yang, C., Wang, S. (2022) Regional trade agreement burdens global carbon emissions mitigation. Nature Communications, 13, 408. (Featured Article)
16. Tian, K., Dietzenbacher, E., Jong-A-Pin, R. (2022) Global value chain participation and its impact on industrial upgrading. World Economy, 45,1362-1385.
17. Zhang, Y., Tian, K.*, Li, X., Jiang, X., Yang, C. (2022) From globalization to regionalization? Assessing its potential environmental and economic effects. Applied Energy, 310, 118642.
18. Duan, H., Bao, Q., Tian, K., Wang, S., Yang, C., Cai, Z. (2021) The hit of the novel coronavirus outbreak to China’s economy. China Economic Review, 67, 101606.
19. Zheng, L., Tian, K.* (2021) The contribution of ocean trade to national economic growth: A non-competitive input-output analysis in China. Marine Policy, 130, 104559.
20. Hu, Y., Tian, K., Wu, T., Yang, C. (2021) The lose-lose consequence: Assessing US-China trade decoupling through the lens of global value chains. Management and Organization Review, 17(2), 1-18. (contribute equally)
21. Tian, K., Dietzenbacher, E., Yan, B., Duan, Y. (2020) Upgrading or downgrading: China’s regional carbon emission intensity evolution and its determinants. Energy Economics, 91, 104891.
2019
22. Tian, K.*, Dietzenbacher, E., Jong-A-Pin, R. (2019) Measuring industrial upgrading: applying factor analysis in a global value chain framework. Economic Systems Research, 31(4), 642-664.
23. Chen, Q., Zhu, K., Chen, X., Liu, P., Tian, K., Yang, L., Yang, C. (2019) Distinguishing China's processing trade in the world input-output table and quantifying its effects. Economic Systems Research, 31(3), 361-381.
Books
Tian, K. (2022) Economic and environmental upgrading in an era of globalized and fragmented value chains. University of Groningen Press.
Tian, K., Yang C. (2023) Global value chain restructuring and industrial upgrading. Science Press. (in Chinese)
Research Projects
Principal Investigator, National Natural Science Foundation of China, Digital economy input-output model and its applications, 01/2024-12/2027.
Principal Investigator, National Natural Science Foundation of China, Global value chains and industrial upgrading, 01/2020-12/2022.
Principal Investigator, National Bureau of Statistics of China, China’s industrial transformation and upgrading, 03/2020-12/2020.
Principal Investigator, China Association for Science and Technology, Global value chains and trade conflicts, 05/2017-05/2018.
Major Contributor, National Development and Reform Commission of China, China’s macroeconomic multi-sector dynamic economic model, 03/2020-10/2021.
Major Contributor, Ministry of Commerce of China, Global value chain accounting and economic gains from international trade, 05/2013-
Major Contributor, Chinese Academy of Sciences, Annual forecasting of China’s grain production, 04/2013-
Conferences
07/2025, invited lecturer at the 13th edition of the International School of Input-Output Analysis, International trade and global supply chain analysis
07/2024, invited lecturer at the 12th edition of the International School of Input-Output Analysis, International trade and global supply chain analysis
12/2024, invited speaker at the University of Cambridge
03/2024, invited speaker at the Paula and Gregory Chow Institute for Studies in Economics, Xiamen University
02/2024, invited lecturer at the Bartlett School of Sustainable Construction, University College London, Global value chain and the environment
11/2023, invited speaker at the School of Geography, Earth and Environmental Sciences, University of Birmingham
Students
现指导学生
万嘉钰 博士研究生 020205-产业经济学
李小康 博士研究生 020209-数量经济学
Honors & Distinctions
Science and Technology Award by China Energy, 2023
Excellent Achievement Award at CAS, 2023
Guan Zhaozhi Youth Research Award at AMSS, CAS, 2021
Best paper in Chinese Input-output Association, 2022
Best paper in Chinese Industrial Economics, 2022